INFORMATION MANAGEMENT for INTELLIGENCE OPERATIONS

Mihail Păduraru



SISTEMIC AND SINERGIC COMPONENTS 


PLANING 

INTELLIGENCE NEEDS

KIT - KEY INTELINGENCE TOPICS 

IT IS IMPORTANT  WHAT WE KNOW BUT MORE IMPORTANT IS WHAT WE DON'T KNOW 

FORMULATE QUESTIONS


WHERE CAN WE GET THE INFORMATION WE NEED ?

OSINT                                                                         HUMINT



1 - SUBJECT 

WHO ? WHAT ?

2 - MODUS OPERANDI 

HOW ?

3 - PLACE 

WHERE ?

4 - TIME 

WHEN ?

5 - PURPOSE 

WHY ? 




ACKOFF - OPERATION RESEARCHER AND SYSTEM THINKING PROFESSOR , DIVIDE THINKING AS :

1. DATES - SIMBOLS 

2. INFORMATIONS - WHO ? ,WHAT ? ,WHERE ? ,WHEN ? 

3. KNOWLEDGE - APLICATION OF DATES AND INFORMATION - HOW ? 

4.UNDERSTANDING - WHY? 

5.JUDGEMENT / ANTICIPATION


FIRST 4 REFEER / BELONG TO THE PAST - WHAT WAS DONE OR WHAT IT IS KNOW AND THE LAST ONE BELONGS TO THE FUTUTRE AND NEEDS VISION


                                                     


TEHNIQUES OF ANALYSIS

SWOT 
PESTLE 
ACH 
MATRIX CALCULATION 


Analyst must to formulate short and concise quotes which will answer to THRUE or FALSE , filled with FACTS and EVIDENCES which finally will validate his reasoning 

He must focus more on the evidence that will reject his hypothesis instead of those that will confirm

VERY IMPORTANT - do not fill the missing pieces with personal opinions 



PRODUCT 

PRODUCT MUST BE ADAPT TO THE PERSONALITY OF THE  DECISION MAKER  

MUST BE SHORT  -  CONCISE  - COMPREHENSIVE  

EASY TO READ / TO UNDERSTAND

MUST CONTAINE ELEMENTS OF PROBABILITY

MUST CONTAIN ELEMENTS OF LOGICAL ARGUMENTATION :
if A + B = C then may be possible...D 
if A = C and B = C then A = B


FIELD OPERATIONS / OODA LOOP



OPERATIONAL INTELLINGENCE - CAPACITY AND INTENTIONS OF POSSIBLE THREATS 

STRATEGIC INTELIGENCE - LONG TERM 

 TACTIC INTELIGENCE - SHORT TERM 

AWARNESS , INDICATORS OF THREATS

THREAT = intention + capability
RISK = threat + vulnerability

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